Step 14: The Loanable Funds Market
- The loanable funds market is where savers lend and borrowers borrow. Its price is the real interest rate.
- Supply of loanable funds comes from saving (plus inflows of foreign capital). Demand comes from borrowing, mainly firms borrowing to invest, and the government when it runs a deficit.
- A government budget deficit shifts demand right, raises the real interest rate and reduces private investment. This is crowding out.
- Do not mix it up with the money market: the money market sets the nominal rate in the short run; the loanable funds market sets the real rate. The link is \( r = i – \pi \).
What the loanable funds market means
Imagine a town with one big savings pot. Families who spend less than they earn put the difference in through their banks. A café owner wants to borrow for a new coffee machine and a bus company wants three new buses. The pot is limited, so borrowers compete for it. The “price” that balances lending and borrowing is the interest rate.
That imaginary pot is the loanable funds market. In reality it is all the banks and bond markets that move money from savers to borrowers, drawn as one simple supply and demand diagram.
The interest rate in this market is the real interest rate. Lenders care what their money will buy. Lend $100 at 7% when prices rise by 3%, and your purchasing power grows by only about 4%. That 4% is the real interest rate.
Here \( r \) is the real interest rate, \( i \) is the nominal interest rate (the rate written on the loan) and \( \pi \) is the inflation rate. This approximation works well when inflation is low.
Supply and demand: who lends and who borrows
Supply of loanable funds comes from saving. Households save part of their income, firms keep some profits, and a government with a budget surplus adds to national saving. Foreign savers add to supply when they send funds into the country (a capital inflow).
The supply curve slopes upward. A higher real interest rate is a bigger reward for waiting, so people choose to save more.
Demand for loanable funds comes from borrowing. The main borrowers are firms that want to invest in machines, buildings and technology. Households borrow for houses. And when the government spends more than it collects in tax, it must borrow the difference.
The demand curve slopes downward. A firm only borrows for a project if the expected return beats the cost of borrowing. At a 10% real rate, few projects pass that test. At 3%, many more do, so the quantity of funds demanded is larger.
For example, suppose in a small economy the supply of loanable funds is \( Q_S = 100 + 20r \) and the demand is \( Q_D = 400 – 30r \), where \( Q \) is in billions of dollars and \( r \) is the real interest rate in percent. Find the equilibrium.
The equilibrium real interest rate is 6% and $220 billion is lent and borrowed.
What shifts each curve
A change in the real interest rate moves you along a curve. Something else changing shifts the curve. These are the shifters you need for exams.
| Change | Curve that shifts | Real interest rate | Quantity of funds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Households become more thrifty (save more at every rate) | Supply right | Falls | Rises |
| Households save less (e.g. confidence boom, more spending) | Supply left | Rises | Falls |
| Capital inflow (foreigners lend more to this country) | Supply right | Falls | Rises |
| Capital outflow (savers send funds abroad) | Supply left | Rises | Falls |
| Firms more optimistic, or an investment tax credit | Demand right | Rises | Rises |
| Firms pessimistic about future sales | Demand left | Falls | Falls |
| Government budget deficit (more government borrowing) | Demand right | Rises | Rises |
| Government budget surplus (government adds to saving) | Supply right | Falls | Rises |
Government deficits and crowding out
When a government spends more than it raises in tax, it borrows by selling bonds, competing with firms for the same pool of saving. This pushes the real rate up. At the higher rate, some private projects no longer pay, so firms invest less. Government borrowing has partly “crowded out” private borrowing.
Using the same economy as before (\( Q_S = 100 + 20r \), private demand \( Q_D = 400 – 30r \)), the government now runs a deficit and borrows an extra $50 billion at every interest rate. Find the new real interest rate, the new level of private investment and the amount crowded out.
The real rate rises from 6% to 7%. Of the $50 billion the government borrows, $30 billion comes from firms investing less and $20 billion comes from extra saving (240 − 220). Private investment falls by $30 billion: that is crowding out.
Why does this matter? Investment builds the capital stock, so less investment today means slower long-run growth. Crowding out is strongest near full employment; in a deep recession, with saving piling up unused, government borrowing pushes rates up very little.
Loanable funds vs the money market
Both graphs have an interest rate on the vertical axis, but they answer different questions.
| Money market | Loanable funds market | |
|---|---|---|
| Price on vertical axis | Nominal interest rate (i) | Real interest rate (r) |
| What is traded | Money held as cash and current accounts | Saving lent to borrowers |
| Supply | Vertical money supply set by the central bank | Upward-sloping: saving plus capital inflows |
| Demand | Money demand (to buy things, or as an asset) | Borrowing for investment and government deficits |
| Typical use | Monetary policy in the short run | Fiscal policy, crowding out, saving and long-run growth |
The two are linked by \( r = i – \pi \). If the central bank buys bonds and the nominal rate falls in the money market, then with inflation expectations unchanged in the short run, the real rate falls too. A question about a deficit or saving needs the loanable funds graph; a question about the money supply needs the money market.
Worked scenarios
- The government cuts taxes and borrows to pay for it. The deficit rises, so demand for loanable funds shifts right. The real interest rate rises and private investment falls (crowding out). In the long run, a smaller capital stock means slower growth.
- Foreign investors decide the country is a safe place to lend. Capital flows in, so supply of loanable funds shifts right. The real interest rate falls and the quantity of loanable funds rises, so domestic investment rises.
- The government gives firms a tax credit for buying new equipment. Each project becomes more profitable, so firms want to borrow more at every rate. Demand shifts right; the real rate rises and the quantity of loanable funds rises.
Practise: 6 questions
Try each one on paper first, then check the worked answer.
EasyQ1. A loan has a nominal interest rate of 7% and inflation is 3%. What is the real interest rate? Show worked answer
The lender’s purchasing power grows by about 4% a year.
EasyQ2. Households decide to save a larger share of their income. Using the loanable funds model, what happens to the real interest rate and the quantity of loanable funds? Show worked answer
The real interest rate falls and the equilibrium quantity of loanable funds rises. Lower real rates encourage more private investment.
MediumQ3. Supply of loanable funds is \( Q_S = 50 + 25r \) and demand is \( Q_D = 350 – 25r \) (Q in billions, r in percent). Find the equilibrium real interest rate and quantity. Show worked answer
\( 50r = 300 \), so \( r = 6\% \).
\( Q = 50 + 25(6) = 50 + 150 = 200 \). Check: \( 350 – 25(6) = 350 – 150 = 200 \).
Equilibrium: real interest rate 6%, quantity $200 billion.
MediumQ4. In Q3, the government runs a deficit and borrows an extra $40 billion at every interest rate. Find the new real interest rate and how much private investment is crowded out. Show worked answer
\( 50 + 25r = 390 – 25r \) gives \( 50r = 340 \), so \( r = 6.8\% \).
Total quantity: \( 50 + 25(6.8) = 50 + 170 = 220 \). Check: \( 390 – 170 = 220 \).
Private investment at 6.8%: \( 350 – 25(6.8) = 350 – 170 = 180 \). Before it was 200.
Crowding out = \( 200 – 180 = \$20 \) billion. The other $20 billion of the government’s $40 billion comes from extra saving (220 − 200).
MediumQ5. Explain the difference between the interest rate in the money market and the interest rate in the loanable funds market, and say which graph you would use to show the effect of a budget deficit. Show worked answer
A budget deficit is about government borrowing, so you use the loanable funds graph: demand shifts right and the real interest rate rises.
ExamQ6. Country Z is at full employment and the government increases spending, financed by borrowing. (a) Draw a correctly labelled loanable funds graph and show the effect on the real interest rate. (b) Explain the effect on private investment. (c) Explain the effect on long-run economic growth. [5 marks] Show worked answer
(b) [2 marks] Private investment falls (1) because the higher real interest rate raises the cost of borrowing, so fewer investment projects are profitable: crowding out (1).
(c) [1 mark] Long-run growth slows, because lower investment means slower growth of the capital stock, so productive capacity (LRAS) grows more slowly.
Check yourself
1. Which of these shifts the supply of loanable funds to the right?
2. Under the AP convention, a government budget deficit causes:
3. The nominal interest rate is 6% and inflation is 4%. The real interest rate is:
Your score: 0 out of 3
The short version
- The loanable funds market matches saving (supply) with borrowing for investment and government deficits (demand). Its price is the real interest rate, \( r = i – \pi \).
- More saving, a government surplus or capital inflows shift supply right and lower the real rate; more investment demand or a government deficit shift demand right and raise it.
- Government borrowing raises the real interest rate and reduces private investment: crowding out. Less investment means a smaller capital stock and slower long-run growth.
- Crowding out is largest near full employment and smallest in a deep recession.
- Use the money market for the nominal rate and monetary policy; use loanable funds for the real rate, deficits and saving.
Further reading on EconTutorials
Older in-depth articles on this topic from our blog:
- Fiscal Policy: Government Spending, Taxation, Multipliers, and the Debt Debate
- Sampling Methods in Statistics: Random, Stratified, Systematic and Cluster
- Net Present Value (NPV) and Present Value in Economics: Formula, Examples and Investment Decisions
- Compound Interest Formula: Simple vs Compound vs Continuous Compounding with Worked Examples
